What will Mark Kelly say during The Last Word with Lawrence O'Donnell?

As of Tue, 22 Sep 2026 06:26:04 UTC, Kalshi traders price Hegseth (82.0%), Iran / Iranian (79.0%), Ukraine / Ukrainian (44.0%). The market has $45K in volume and closes on Mon, 05 Oct 2026.

Updated: Tue, 22 Sep 2026 06:26:04 UTC

Current odds

Market details

• Venue: Kalshi
• Volume: $45K
• Liquidity: $45K
• Closes: Mon, 05 Oct 2026

Resolution rules

Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Hegseth:

If Mark Kelly says Hegseth as part of The Last Word with Lawrence O'Donnell originally scheduled for September 21, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes. How this is resolved Video of the The Last Word with Lawrence O'Donnell originally scheduled for September 21, 2026 using the live broadcast or stream. If a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the The Last Word with Lawrence O'Donnell originally scheduled for September 21, 2026 will be used. Payout Criteria The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word. Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc). Mark Kelly speaking in an official capacity. For phrases with slashes like "Doge/Dogecoin," either word satisfies the criterion. Doesn't count for payout Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. Additional content not included in the original broadcast or stream. Presence alone during a livestream is not sufficient for the market to qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic). Except as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address. Payout for cancellations and delays If an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents n…

Sources

• Source: Kalshi market

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