What will Kevin Warsh say during his fireside chat with International Monetary Fund?
As of Thu, 15 Oct 2026 07:20:02 UTC, Kalshi traders price AI / Artificial Intelligence (79.0%), Productivity (64.0%), 2008 / Financial Crisis (63.0%). The market has $6K in volume and closes on Thu, 29 Oct 2026.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | 79.0% | 79.0¢ | 21.0¢ |
| Productivity | 64.0% | 64.0¢ | 36.0¢ |
| 2008 / Financial Crisis | 63.0% | 63.0¢ | 37.0¢ |
| Task Force | 63.0% | 63.0¢ | 37.0¢ |
| Forward Guidance | 57.0% | 57.0¢ | 43.0¢ |
| Price Stability / Stable Price | 55.0% | 55.0¢ | 45.0¢ |
| Inflation (5+ times) | 55.0% | 55.0¢ | 45.0¢ |
| Resilient / Resilience | 51.0% | 51.0¢ | 49.0¢ |
| Dollar | 49.0% | 49.0¢ | 51.0¢ |
| Independent / Independence | 37.0% | 37.0¢ | 63.0¢ |
| Oil / Gas / Gasoline | 36.0% | 36.0¢ | 64.0¢ |
| Balance Sheet | 29.0% | 29.0¢ | 71.0¢ |
| Layoff | 11.0% | 11.0¢ | 89.0¢ |
| Tariff | 11.0% | 11.0¢ | 89.0¢ |
| Rate Hike / Hike Rate | 10.0% | 10.0¢ | 90.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $6K
- Liquidity: $6K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for AI / Artificial Intelligence:
If Kevin Warsh says AI / Artificial Intelligence as part of Fireside Chat with International Monetary Fund originally scheduled for October 15, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes. How this is resolved Video of the Fireside Chat with International Monetary Fund originally scheduled for October 15, 2026 using the live broadcast or stream. If a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Fireside Chat with International Monetary Fund originally scheduled for October 15, 2026 will be used. Payout Criteria The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word. Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc). Kevin Warsh speaking in an official capacity. For phrases with slashes like "Doge/Dogecoin," either word satisfies the criterion. Doesn't count for payout Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. Presence alone during a livestream is not sufficient for the market to qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic). Except as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address. Payout for cancellations and delays If an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then th…
Sources
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