What will JD Vance say during his fraud press conference?

As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 23:11:12 UTC, Kalshi traders price Democrat (77.0%), Taxpayer (72.0%), Medicare / Medicaid (71.0%). The market has $1K in volume and closes on Wed, 04 Nov 2026.

Updated:

Current odds

OutcomeChanceYes priceNo price
Democrat77.0%77.0¢23.0¢
Taxpayer72.0%72.0¢28.0¢
Medicare / Medicaid71.0%71.0¢29.0¢
Corrupt / Corruption70.0%70.0¢30.0¢
Shirley69.0%69.0¢31.0¢
Biden63.0%63.0¢37.0¢
Election52.0%52.0¢48.0¢
California50.0%50.0¢50.0¢
Minnesota / Minneapolis46.0%46.0¢54.0¢
2028 / Campaign43.0%43.0¢57.0¢
China / Chinese42.0%42.0¢58.0¢
Hospice41.0%41.0¢59.0¢
Economy / Economic40.0%40.0¢60.0¢
Healthcare40.0%40.0¢60.0¢
Somali / Somalia / Somalian38.0%38.0¢62.0¢

Market details

Resolution rules

Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Democrat:

If JD Vance says Democrat as part of Fraud Task Force Press Conference in Cincinnati, Ohio originally scheduled for October 21, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes. How this is resolved Video of the Fraud Task Force Press Conference in Cincinnati, Ohio originally scheduled for October 21, 2026 using the live broadcast or stream. If a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Fraud Task Force Press Conference in Cincinnati, Ohio originally scheduled for October 21, 2026 will be used. Payout Criteria The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word. Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc). JD Vance speaking in an official capacity. For phrases with slashes like "Doge/Dogecoin," either word satisfies the criterion. Doesn't count for payout Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. Presence alone during a livestream is not sufficient for the market to qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic). Except as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address. Payout for cancellations and delays If an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the mar…

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