What will Jay Parikh say during GitHub Universe Keynote?
As of Mon, 19 Oct 2026 22:29:04 UTC, Kalshi traders price Copilot (86.0%), Open Source (74.0%), Agent / Agentic (62.0%). The market has $4K in volume and closes on Wed, 11 Nov 2026.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Copilot | 86.0% | 86.0¢ | 14.0¢ |
| Open Source | 74.0% | 74.0¢ | 26.0¢ |
| Agent / Agentic | 62.0% | 62.0¢ | 38.0¢ |
| VISU | 56.0% | 56.0¢ | 44.0¢ |
| Frontier | 56.0% | 56.0¢ | 44.0¢ |
| MCP / Model Context Protocol | 42.0% | 42.0¢ | 58.0¢ |
| Foundry | 41.0% | 41.0¢ | 59.0¢ |
| Claude / Anthropic | 32.0% | 32.0¢ | 68.0¢ |
| Codex / OpenAI | 32.0% | 32.0¢ | 68.0¢ |
| Cybersecurity | 31.0% | 31.0¢ | 69.0¢ |
| Memory | 30.0% | 30.0¢ | 70.0¢ |
| GitHub Advanced Security | 27.0% | 27.0¢ | 73.0¢ |
| Vibe Code / Vibe Coding | 16.0% | 16.0¢ | 84.0¢ |
| Event does not qualify | 6.0% | 6.0¢ | 94.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $4K
- Liquidity: $4K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Copilot:
If Jay Parikh says Copilot as part of GitHub Universe 2026 — Opening Keynote originally scheduled for October 28, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes. How this is resolved Video of the GitHub Universe 2026 — Opening Keynote originally scheduled for October 28, 2026 using the live broadcast or stream. If a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the GitHub Universe 2026 — Opening Keynote originally scheduled for October 28, 2026 will be used. Payout Criteria The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word. Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc). Jay Parikh speaking in an official capacity. For phrases with slashes like "Doge/Dogecoin," either word satisfies the criterion. Doesn't count for payout Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. Presence alone during a livestream is not sufficient for the market to qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic). Except as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address. Payout for cancellations and delays If an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for "Event does not qualify" resolves…
Sources
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