What will Bernie say during his rally in Gainesville?

As of Sun, 18 Oct 2026 01:02:17 UTC, Kalshi traders price Elon / Musk (90.0%), Data Center (88.0%), Billionaire (5+ times) (87.0%). The market has $2K in volume and closes on Sun, 01 Nov 2026.

Updated:

Current odds

OutcomeChanceYes priceNo price
Elon / Musk90.0%90.0¢10.0¢
Data Center88.0%88.0¢12.0¢
Billionaire (5+ times)87.0%87.0¢13.0¢
Housing / Rent86.0%86.0¢14.0¢
Working Class86.0%86.0¢14.0¢
Israel / Netanyahu86.0%86.0¢14.0¢
AI / Artificial Intelligence84.0%84.0¢16.0¢
Tax Break84.0%84.0¢16.0¢
Social Security82.0%82.0¢18.0¢
Oil / Gas / Gasoline77.0%77.0¢23.0¢
Corrupt / Corruption76.0%76.0¢24.0¢
Iran / Iranian75.0%75.0¢25.0¢
China / Chinese68.0%68.0¢32.0¢
Trump (5+ times)60.0%60.0¢40.0¢
Robot / Robotic / Robotics57.0%57.0¢43.0¢

Market details

Resolution rules

Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Elon / Musk:

If Bernie Sanders says Elon / Musk as part of Fighting Oligarchy: Where We Go From Here rally in Gainesville originally scheduled for October 18, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes. How this is resolved Video of the Fighting Oligarchy: Where We Go From Here rally in Gainesville originally scheduled for October 18, 2026 using the live broadcast or stream. If a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Fighting Oligarchy: Where We Go From Here rally in Gainesville originally scheduled for October 18, 2026 will be used. Payout Criteria The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word. Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc). Bernie Sanders speaking in an official capacity. For phrases with slashes like "Doge/Dogecoin," either word satisfies the criterion. Doesn't count for payout Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. Presence alone during a livestream is not sufficient for the market to qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic). Except as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address. Payout for cancellations and delays If an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstanc…

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