What will Bernie say during his rally in El Paso?
As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 11:33:16 UTC, Kalshi traders price Billionaire (5+ times) (99.0%), AI / Artificial Intelligence (99.0%), Corrupt / Corruption (99.0%). The market has $119K in volume and closes on Mon, 02 Nov 2026.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Billionaire (5+ times) | 99.0% | 99.0¢ | 1.0¢ |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | 99.0% | 99.0¢ | 1.0¢ |
| Corrupt / Corruption | 99.0% | 99.0¢ | 1.0¢ |
| Iran / Iranian | 99.0% | 99.0¢ | 1.0¢ |
| Israel / Netanyahu | 99.0% | 99.0¢ | 1.0¢ |
| Midterm | 99.0% | 99.0¢ | 1.0¢ |
| Oil / Gas / Gasoline | 99.0% | 99.0¢ | 1.0¢ |
| Trillionaire | 99.0% | 99.0¢ | 1.0¢ |
| Trump (5+ times) | 99.0% | 99.0¢ | 1.0¢ |
| Working Class | 99.0% | 99.0¢ | 1.0¢ |
| Tax Break | 97.0% | 97.0¢ | 3.0¢ |
| Elon / Musk | 96.0% | 96.0¢ | 4.0¢ |
| Bernie | 73.0% | 73.0¢ | 27.0¢ |
| Event does not qualify | 10.0% | 10.0¢ | 90.0¢ |
| China / Chinese | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $119K
- Liquidity: $119K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Billionaire (5+ times):
If Bernie Sanders says Billionaire (5+ times) as part of Fighting Oligarchy: Get Out the Vote rally in El Paso originally scheduled for October 19, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes. How this is resolved Video of the Fighting Oligarchy: Get Out the Vote rally in El Paso originally scheduled for October 19, 2026 using the live broadcast or stream. If a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Fighting Oligarchy: Get Out the Vote rally in El Paso originally scheduled for October 19, 2026 will be used. Payout Criteria The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word. Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc). Bernie Sanders speaking in an official capacity. For phrases with slashes like "Doge/Dogecoin," either word satisfies the criterion. Doesn't count for payout Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. Presence alone during a livestream is not sufficient for the market to qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic). Except as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address. Payout for cancellations and delays If an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents norma…
Sources
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