What will Bernie say during his rally in Amarillo?

As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 11:45:10 UTC, Kalshi traders price Event does not qualify (86.0%), Elon / Musk (20.0%), Corrupt / Corruption (17.0%). The market has $105K in volume and closes on Mon, 02 Nov 2026.

Updated: Tue, 20 Oct 2026 11:45:10 UTC

Current odds

Outcome	Chance	Yes price	No price
Event does not qualify	86.0%	86.0¢	14.0¢
Elon / Musk	20.0%	20.0¢	80.0¢
Corrupt / Corruption	17.0%	17.0¢	83.0¢
Israel / Netanyahu	17.0%	17.0¢	83.0¢
Billionaire (5+ times)	16.0%	16.0¢	84.0¢
Bernie	15.0%	15.0¢	85.0¢
Working Class	15.0%	15.0¢	85.0¢
AI / Artificial Intelligence	14.0%	14.0¢	86.0¢
Data Center	13.0%	13.0¢	87.0¢
ChatGPT / OpenAI	11.0%	11.0¢	89.0¢
Robot / Robotic / Robotics	11.0%	11.0¢	89.0¢
Trump (5+ times)	10.0%	10.0¢	90.0¢
Farm / Farmer	9.0%	9.0¢	91.0¢
Iran / Iranian	7.0%	7.0¢	93.0¢
Tax Break	6.0%	6.0¢	94.0¢

Market details

Venue: Kalshi
Volume: $105K
Liquidity: $105K
Closes: Mon, 02 Nov 2026

Resolution rules

Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Event does not qualify:

If a qualifying event does not occur , then the market resolves to Yes. How this is resolved Video of the Fighting Oligarchy: Get Out the Vote rally in Amarillo originally scheduled for October 19, 2026 using the live broadcast or stream. If a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Fighting Oligarchy: Get Out the Vote rally in Amarillo originally scheduled for October 19, 2026 will be used. Payout Criteria The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word. Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc). Bernie Sanders speaking in an official capacity. For phrases with slashes like "Doge/Dogecoin," either word satisfies the criterion. Doesn't count for payout Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. Presence alone during a livestream is not sufficient for the market to qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic). Except as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address. Payout for cancellations and delays If an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for "Event does not qualify" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No…

Sources

Source: Kalshi market

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