What will Alexander Stubb say during his United Nations address?
As of Tue, 22 Sep 2026 18:47:48 UTC, Kalshi traders price Climate (100.0%), Russia / Russian (100.0%), AI / Artificial Intelligence (100.0%). The market has $12K in volume and closes on Tue, 06 Oct 2026.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Climate | 100.0% | 100.0¢ | 0.0¢ |
| Russia / Russian | 100.0% | 100.0¢ | 0.0¢ |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | 100.0% | 100.0¢ | 0.0¢ |
| Palestine / Palestinian / Gaza | 100.0% | 100.0¢ | 0.0¢ |
| Ukraine / Ukrainian | 100.0% | 100.0¢ | 0.0¢ |
| Event does not qualify | 80.0% | 80.0¢ | 20.0¢ |
| Iran / Iranian | 33.0% | 33.0¢ | 67.0¢ |
| Ceasefire | 20.0% | 20.0¢ | 80.0¢ |
| NATO | 14.0% | 14.0¢ | 86.0¢ |
| Nuclear | 12.0% | 12.0¢ | 88.0¢ |
| China / Chinese | 11.0% | 11.0¢ | 89.0¢ |
| Oil / Gas / Gasoline | 11.0% | 11.0¢ | 89.0¢ |
| Tariff | 5.0% | 5.0¢ | 95.0¢ |
| Trump | 4.0% | 4.0¢ | 96.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $12K
- Liquidity: $12K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Climate:
If Alexander Stubb says Climate as part of official address during the General Debate of the 81st United Nations General Assembly originally scheduled for September 22, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes. How this is resolved Video of the official address during the General Debate of the 81st United Nations General Assembly originally scheduled for September 22, 2026 using the live broadcast or stream. If a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the official address during the General Debate of the 81st United Nations General Assembly originally scheduled for September 22, 2026 will be used. Payout Criteria The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word. Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc). Alexander Stubb speaking in an official capacity. For phrases with slashes like "Doge/Dogecoin," either word satisfies the criterion. To be clear, this event will resolve based on Alexander Stubb’s official address during the General Debate of the 81st United Nations General Assembly, originally scheduled for September 22, 2026. Remarks at press conferences, interviews, side events, bilateral meetings, or separate statements will not count. Markets may close and resolve after the address concludes and the outcomes are verified. Doesn't count for payout Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. Presence alone during a liv…
Sources
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