What level will the Dubai Real Estate Index hit in 2026?

As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 12:14:08 UTC, Polymarket traders price ↓ 10,000 (24.0%), ↑ 14,000 (21.5%), ↓ 6,000 (6.9%). The market has $125K in volume and closes on Fri, 01 Jan 2027.

Updated:

Current odds

OutcomeChanceYes priceNo price
↓ 10,00024.0%24.0¢76.0¢
↑ 14,00021.5%21.5¢78.5¢
↓ 6,0006.9%6.9¢93.2¢
↓ 8,0004.8%4.8¢95.2¢
↑ 18,0003.4%3.4¢96.7¢
↓ 4,0002.5%2.5¢97.5¢
↑ 16,0002.5%2.5¢97.5¢

Market details

Resolution rules

Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for ↓ 10,000:

This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any TradingView 1 minute candle for the DFM Real Estate Index between the creation of this market and December 31, 2026, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final "Low" value equal to or lower than the value specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is TradingView, specifically the DFM Real Estate Index "Low" values available at https://www.tradingview.com/chart/?symbol=DFM%3ADFMREI, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. If, for any trading day, the relevant TradingView data is unavailable, the official daily high value for the DFM Real Estate Index published by the Dubai Financial Market will be used to determine whether the listed value was reached during the applicable trading session. If price data remains unavailable from both sources for 72 hours after market close on the final trading day of the specified period, this market will resolve based on the price data published up to that point.

Sources

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