WA-04 House winner? (2028)
As of Sat, 07 Nov 2026 20:46:59 UTC, Kalshi traders price Republican party (88.0%), Democratic party (5.2%). The market has $3K in volume and closes on Mon, 07 May 2029.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Republican party | 88.0% | 88.0¢ | 12.0¢ |
| Democratic party | 5.2% | 5.2¢ | 94.8¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $3K
- Liquidity: $3K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Republican party:
If the House member sworn in for the 4th District of Washington for the term beginning in 2029 is a member of the Republican Party, then the market resolves to Yes. This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner.
Sources
Related markets
- Blue wave this year?
- Midterms: House popular vote margin of victory? (Generic ballot)
- NC-03 House winner?
- Blue tsunami this year?
- Red wave this year?
- Midterms: Democratic mega tsunami?
DOXA is a liquidity aggregator for prediction markets that compares odds and depth across Polymarket, Kalshi and others and routes each trade for best execution with an AI assistant.