US Treasury cash balance on October 30, 2026
As of Wed, 28 Oct 2026 17:22:39 UTC, Kalshi traders price Above $875 billion (72.0%), Above $900 billion (67.0%), Above $925 billion (52.0%). The market has $4K in volume and closes on Mon, 09 Nov 2026.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Above $875 billion | 72.0% | 72.0¢ | 28.0¢ |
| Above $900 billion | 67.0% | 67.0¢ | 33.0¢ |
| Above $925 billion | 52.0% | 52.0¢ | 48.0¢ |
| Above $975 billion | 42.0% | 42.0¢ | 58.0¢ |
| Above $1,075 billion | 20.0% | 20.0¢ | 80.0¢ |
| Above $1,025 billion | 20.0% | 20.0¢ | 80.0¢ |
| Above $1,050 billion | 20.0% | 20.0¢ | 80.0¢ |
| Above $1,100 billion | 20.0% | 20.0¢ | 80.0¢ |
| Above $1,000 billion | 17.0% | 17.0¢ | 83.0¢ |
| Above $950 billion | 14.0% | 14.0¢ | 86.0¢ |
| Above $850 billion | 13.0% | 13.0¢ | 87.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $4K
- Liquidity: $4K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Above $875 billion:
If the Treasury General Account closing balance for October 30, 2026 is above $875 billion, then the market resolves to Yes. This market uses the “Treasury General Account (TGA) Closing Balance” in the “Today” column of Table I — Operating Cash Balance in the Daily Treasury Statement for October 30, 2026. The published amount, reported in millions of U.S. dollars, is divided by 1,000 to express the balance in billions of U.S. dollars. No additional rounding is applied. The first published value is used. Later corrections and revisions are ignored. The observation date is the date covered by the statement, regardless of when the statement is published. A publication delay does not change the observation date.
Sources
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