US Tornadoes in September 2026
As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 15:35:47 UTC, Polymarket traders price 50 - 74 (82.0%), 25 - 49 (16.8%), Under 25 (15.0%). The market has $4K in volume and closes on Wed, 14 Oct 2026.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| 50 - 74 | 82.0% | 82.0¢ | 18.0¢ |
| 25 - 49 | 16.8% | 16.8¢ | 83.2¢ |
| Under 25 | 15.0% | 15.0¢ | 85.0¢ |
| 75 - 124 | 14.4% | 14.4¢ | 85.6¢ |
| 125 or more | 1.4% | 1.4¢ | 98.6¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Polymarket
- Volume: $4K
- Liquidity: $903
- Closes:
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the number of tornadoes recorded in the United States during the specified month, based on the monthly count published on the National Centers for Environmental Information U.S. Tornadoes Time Series page (see: https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/access/monitoring/tornadoes/time-series). Only tornadoes appearing in the final NCEI dataset for that month will count. The brackets are mutually exclusive and collectively exhaustive: each range is inclusive of both of its stated endpoints, and the monthly tornado count falls within exactly one bracket. As of market creation, the relevant report is scheduled to be released on October 14, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET (Release schedule: https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/access/monitoring/dyk/monthly-releases). The market will resolve based on the first relevant tornado count published on the NCEI tornado time-series page after this scheduled release time. If the value published after this scheduled release time is labeled preliminary, it will still determine resolution, and the market will resolve independently of any subsequent revisions, corrections, or retroactive adjustments. The market will not resolve based on any preliminary values published before the scheduled release time. If no data is published by the scheduled release time, or if the NCEI website is temporarily unavailable, this market will remain open until that data is made available. If the relevant data is not made available by the date of the next s…
Sources
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