US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027?

As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 03:17:59 UTC, Limitless traders price Yes (45.1%). The market has $10K in volume and closes on Fri, 01 Jan 2027.

Updated:

Current odds

OutcomeChanceYes priceNo price
Yes45.1%45.1¢54.9¢

Market details

Resolution rules

<p>This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US government holds any amount of Bitcoin in its reserves at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".</p><p>Note that the US government confiscating Bitcoin does not count as holding Bitcoin reserves.</p><p>The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government and/or the US federal reserve, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.</p>

Sources

Related markets

DOXA is a liquidity aggregator for prediction markets that compares odds and depth across Polymarket, Kalshi and others and routes each trade for best execution with an AI assistant.