US electricity price in October

As of Thu, 22 Oct 2026 18:18:33 UTC, Kalshi traders price Above 18.8¢ (99.0%), Above 19.0¢ (98.0%), Above 19.2¢ (92.0%). The market has $2K in volume and closes on Tue, 17 Nov 2026.

Updated:

Current odds

OutcomeChanceYes priceNo price
Above 18.8¢99.0%99.0¢1.0¢
Above 19.0¢98.0%98.0¢2.0¢
Above 19.2¢92.0%92.0¢8.0¢
Above 19.4¢59.0%59.0¢41.0¢
Above 19.6¢44.0%44.0¢56.0¢
Above 19.8¢21.0%21.0¢79.0¢
Above 20.0¢5.0%5.0¢95.0¢

Market details

Resolution rules

Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Above 18.8¢:

If the average price of electricity per kilowatt-hour in the U.S. city average for October 2026 is above 18.8¢, then the market resolves to Yes. The Underlying is the first value published by FRED for the October 2026 observation of Average Price: Electricity per Kilowatt-Hour in U.S. City Average [APU000072610], stated in U.S. dollars, not seasonally adjusted. The value will be measured to the last decimal place published by the Source Agency. Revisions to the Underlying made after Last Trading Date will not count.

Sources

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