US crude oil inventories for the week ending October 30, 2026
As of Thu, 29 Oct 2026 14:29:33 UTC, Kalshi traders price Above 403 million barrels (90.0%), Above 404 million barrels (88.0%), Above 405 million barrels (86.0%). The market has $1K in volume and closes on Wed, 11 Nov 2026.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Above 403 million barrels | 90.0% | 90.0¢ | 10.0¢ |
| Above 404 million barrels | 88.0% | 88.0¢ | 12.0¢ |
| Above 405 million barrels | 86.0% | 86.0¢ | 14.0¢ |
| Above 406 million barrels | 82.0% | 82.0¢ | 18.0¢ |
| Above 407 million barrels | 75.0% | 75.0¢ | 25.0¢ |
| Above 408 million barrels | 73.0% | 73.0¢ | 27.0¢ |
| Above 409 million barrels | 65.0% | 65.0¢ | 35.0¢ |
| Above 410 million barrels | 53.0% | 53.0¢ | 47.0¢ |
| Above 411 million barrels | 50.0% | 50.0¢ | 50.0¢ |
| Above 412 million barrels | 41.0% | 41.0¢ | 59.0¢ |
| Above 413 million barrels | 38.0% | 38.0¢ | 62.0¢ |
| Above 414 million barrels | 31.0% | 31.0¢ | 69.0¢ |
| Above 415 million barrels | 25.0% | 25.0¢ | 75.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $1K
- Liquidity: $1K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Above 403 million barrels:
If U.S. commercial crude oil inventories for the week ending Oct 30, 2026 are strictly above 403 million barrels, then the market resolves to Yes. The Underlying is the U.S. Commercial Crude Oil (Excl. Lease Stock) inventory level reported by the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) for the week ending Oct 30, 2026. This measure excludes crude oil held in the Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR). EIA reports the statistic in thousand barrels. Values stated in millions of barrels will be converted directly from the EIA-reported value. The market will use the first EIA publication for the specified week. Subsequent revisions will not affect resolution.
Sources
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