Ulta Credit Card Spend in September

As of Mon, 05 Oct 2026 16:44:16 UTC, Kalshi traders price Above 98 (99.0%), Above 102 (99.0%), Above 94 (99.0%). The market has $16K in volume and closes on Wed, 14 Oct 2026.

Updated:

Current odds

OutcomeChanceYes priceNo price
Above 9899.0%99.0¢1.0¢
Above 10299.0%99.0¢1.0¢
Above 9499.0%99.0¢1.0¢
Above 9099.0%99.0¢1.0¢
Above 9699.0%99.0¢1.0¢
Above 10091.0%91.0¢9.0¢
Above 1045.0%5.0¢95.0¢
Above 1062.0%2.0¢98.0¢
Above 1101.0%1.0¢99.0¢

Market details

Resolution rules

Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Above 98:

If the Carbon Arc Ulta Credit Card Spend (September 2026) for September 2026 is above 98, then the market resolves to Yes. For purposes of this market, determination will resolve on the first value reported by Carbon Arc. Corrections or revisions made after the market has been settled will not affect the outcome. The index measures year-over-year change, where 100 means Ulta Credit Card Spend was equal to the same month last year. Values above 100 indicate growth and values below 100 indicate decline: for example, 103 = 3% more spend than year prior, 97 = 3% decline from year prior. The index is measured by Carbon Arc's aggregated U.S. credit and debit card transaction panel, matched to the same period of the prior year. The panel updates daily as new data arrives. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the underlying company. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Sources

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