Traffic through the Suez Canal? (9/21 - 9/27)
As of Tue, 29 Sep 2026 12:34:21 UTC, Kalshi traders price Above 260 (96.0%), Above 270 (71.0%), Above 280 (36.0%). The market has $29K in volume and closes on Tue, 29 Sep 2026.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Above 260 | 96.0% | 96.0¢ | 4.0¢ |
| Above 270 | 71.0% | 71.0¢ | 29.0¢ |
| Above 280 | 36.0% | 36.0¢ | 64.0¢ |
| Above 290 | 30.0% | 30.0¢ | 70.0¢ |
| Above 300 | 13.0% | 13.0¢ | 87.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $29K
- Liquidity: $29K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Above 260:
If the number of transit calls through the Suez Canal as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 260 from Sep 21, 2026 to Sep 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The total is calculated by summing daily counts from Sep 21, 2026 to Sep 27, 2026. The market will resolve no earlier than Tuesday at 9 AM following the end of the period, once complete data is available.
Sources
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