TIME Person of the Year 2026
As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 10:32:49 UTC, Polymarket traders price Zohran Mamdani (28.5%), Mark Carney (14.5%), Pope Leo XIV (14.0%). The market has $88K in volume and closes on Thu, 31 Dec 2026.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Zohran Mamdani | 28.5% | 28.5¢ | 71.5¢ |
| Mark Carney | 14.5% | 14.5¢ | 85.5¢ |
| Pope Leo XIV | 14.0% | 14.0¢ | 86.0¢ |
| Benjamin Netanyahu | 8.0% | 8.0¢ | 92.0¢ |
| Donald Trump | 6.5% | 6.5¢ | 93.5¢ |
| Dario Amodei | 6.3% | 6.3¢ | 93.7¢ |
| Marco Rubio | 6.0% | 6.0¢ | 94.0¢ |
| Elon Musk | 6.0% | 6.0¢ | 94.0¢ |
| Artificial Intelligence | 5.9% | 5.9¢ | 94.1¢ |
| Sam Altman | 5.5% | 5.5¢ | 94.5¢ |
| Reid Wiseman | 5.5% | 5.5¢ | 94.5¢ |
| Victor Glover | 5.3% | 5.3¢ | 94.7¢ |
| Bad Bunny | 4.8% | 4.8¢ | 95.3¢ |
| Jeremy Hansen | 4.5% | 4.5¢ | 95.5¢ |
| Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf | 3.8% | 3.8¢ | 96.2¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Polymarket
- Volume: $88K
- Liquidity: $564K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed person, group, entity, or thing is TIME Person of the Year for 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A listed option will be considered TIME Person of the Year if they/it are explicitly named as Person of the Year. Additionally, the following rules apply: If multiple people are explicitly named person of the year, both people will be considered TIME Person of the Year. If the TIME Person of the Year is a concept, group or thing, a person may still be considered Person of the Year if they are also explicitly named person of the year, or if they are directly associated with the concept, group or thing named as person of the Year and are pictured on any official TIME cover announcing the Person of the Year. For example, in 2025 when TIME Person of the Year was “Architects of AI” the option for Sam Altman would have resolved to “Yes” as he was associated with the concept and is pictured on the Cover. However, if Sam Altman were Person of the Year, and ChatGPT was shown on the cover, this would not qualify for ChatGPT because ChatGPT is not a person. If the TIME Person of the Year is a specific concept, group, entity, or thing (e.g. artificial intelligence), listed concepts or entities will be considered Person of the Year only if they are synonymous with the announced TIME Person of the Year. For example, if ChatGPT were Person of the Year, options for AI or LLMs would resolve to “No” because, while they are conc…
Sources
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