Texas Senate: which counties will James Talarico win?
As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 11:11:57 UTC, Kalshi traders price Tarrant (90.0%), Fort Bend (89.0%), Collin (69.0%). The market has $31K in volume and closes on Tue, 03 Nov 2026.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tarrant | 90.0% | 90.0¢ | 10.0¢ |
| Fort Bend | 89.0% | 89.0¢ | 11.0¢ |
| Collin | 69.0% | 69.0¢ | 31.0¢ |
| Denton | 50.0% | 50.0¢ | 50.0¢ |
| Bell | 32.0% | 32.0¢ | 68.0¢ |
| Brazoria | 28.0% | 28.0¢ | 72.0¢ |
| Bastrop | 26.0% | 26.0¢ | 74.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $31K
- Liquidity: $31K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Tarrant:
If James Talarico wins the 2026 Texas Senate general election in Tarrant County, then the market resolves to Yes. This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.
Sources
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