Target Credit Card Spend in October
As of Mon, 19 Oct 2026 02:02:33 UTC, Kalshi traders price Above 96 (78.0%), Above 99 (44.0%), Above 100 (41.0%). The market has $20K in volume and closes on Sat, 14 Nov 2026.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Above 96 | 78.0% | 78.0¢ | 22.0¢ |
| Above 99 | 44.0% | 44.0¢ | 56.0¢ |
| Above 100 | 41.0% | 41.0¢ | 59.0¢ |
| Above 101 | 34.0% | 34.0¢ | 66.0¢ |
| Above 102 | 24.0% | 24.0¢ | 76.0¢ |
| Above 103 | 15.0% | 15.0¢ | 85.0¢ |
| Above 105 | 10.0% | 10.0¢ | 90.0¢ |
| Above 104 | 9.0% | 9.0¢ | 91.0¢ |
| Above 108 | 6.0% | 6.0¢ | 94.0¢ |
| Above 111 | 2.0% | 2.0¢ | 98.0¢ |
| Above 114 | 2.0% | 2.0¢ | 98.0¢ |
| Above 117 | 2.0% | 2.0¢ | 98.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $20K
- Liquidity: $20K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Above 96:
If the Carbon Arc Target Credit Card Spend (October 2026) for October 2026 is above 96 , then the market resolves to Yes. For purposes of this market, determination will resolve on finalized Carbon Arc values recorded at 11:59 p.m. ET on the 4th calendar day after the end of the month covered by this market. For example, finalized Carbon Arc values for August will be recorded at 11:59 p.m. ET on September 4th. The index measures year-over-year change, where 100 means Target Credit Card Spend was equal to the same month last year. Values above 100 indicate growth and values below 100 indicate decline: for example, 103 = 3% more spend than year prior, 97 = 3% decline from year prior. The index is measured by Carbon Arc's aggregated U.S. credit and debit card transaction panel, matched to the same period of the prior year. The panel updates daily as new data arrives. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the underlying company. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
Sources
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