Stablecoins depeg before 2027?
As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 03:06:09 UTC, Polymarket traders price USD1 (6.5%), USD0 (6.0%), PYUSD (5.3%). The market has $304K in volume and closes on Fri, 01 Jan 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| USD1 | 6.5% | 6.5¢ | 93.5¢ |
| USD0 | 6.0% | 6.0¢ | 94.0¢ |
| PYUSD | 5.3% | 5.3¢ | 94.7¢ |
| DAI | 5.0% | 5.0¢ | 95.0¢ |
| USDTb | 4.7% | 4.7¢ | 95.3¢ |
| USDS | 4.6% | 4.6¢ | 95.4¢ |
| GHO | 2.6% | 2.6¢ | 97.4¢ |
| USDE | 2.0% | 2.0¢ | 98.0¢ |
| USDC | 1.5% | 1.5¢ | 98.6¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Polymarket
- Volume: $304K
- Liquidity: $7K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for USD1:
This market will resolve to “Yes” immediately if all Pyth 1-minute candles for USD1-USD for any 24-hour period are below 98 cents, for candles between 27 Oct ’25 15:00 and 31 Dec ’26 23:59 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” Below 98 cents means all candles in the period have a final “High” price below 0.98000 (i.e., 0.97999 or lower). A 24-hour period of USD1 below 98 cents that starts on the last day in 2026 will count. The resolution source for this market is TradingView, specifically the USD1-USD “High” prices currently available at https://tradingview.com/chart/?symbol=PYTH%3AUSD1USD with “1m” and “Candles” selected on the top bar. To see the “High” prices, mouse over particular candles and look at the value after “H” at the top of the chart. Please note that this market is about the price according to Pyth USD1-USD. If Pyth stops having the necessary USD1 information to resolve this market, a consensus of credible sources for whether USD1 was below 98 cents for 24 hours or more may be used to resolve this market.
Sources
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