Major CEX insolvent in 2026?
As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 16:38:15 UTC, Polymarket traders price Yes (3.4%). The market has $136K in volume and closes on Fri, 01 Jan 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 3.4% | 3.4¢ | 96.7¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Polymarket
- Volume: $136K
- Liquidity: $17K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if official information released by any of the following major centralized exchanges: Binance, Coinbase, Bybit, OKX, or Kraken, official representatives of such exchange (e.g. lawyers, spokespeople, etc.), or a consensus of credible reporting announces by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET that the exchange is insolvent or is filing/has filed for any variety of bankruptcy. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Sources
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