South Carolina Senate: margin of victory
As of Mon, 26 Oct 2026 09:09:07 UTC, Kalshi traders price Darline Graham, 4-6% (15.0%), Darline Graham, 2-4% (14.0%), Darline Graham, 6-8% (13.0%). The market has $22K in volume and closes on Wed, 03 Nov 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Darline Graham, 4-6% | 15.0% | 15.0¢ | 85.0¢ |
| Darline Graham, 2-4% | 14.0% | 14.0¢ | 86.0¢ |
| Darline Graham, 6-8% | 13.0% | 13.0¢ | 87.0¢ |
| Darline Graham, 0-2% | 13.0% | 13.0¢ | 87.0¢ |
| Darline Graham, 8-10% | 11.0% | 11.0¢ | 89.0¢ |
| Annie Andrews, 0-2% | 10.0% | 10.0¢ | 90.0¢ |
| Annie Andrews, 2-4% | 8.0% | 8.0¢ | 92.0¢ |
| Darline Graham, 10-12% | 7.0% | 7.0¢ | 93.0¢ |
| Darline Graham, ≥14% | 6.0% | 6.0¢ | 94.0¢ |
| Darline Graham, 12-14% | 5.0% | 5.0¢ | 95.0¢ |
| Annie Andrews, ≥6% | 4.0% | 4.0¢ | 96.0¢ |
| Annie Andrews, 4-6% | 3.0% | 3.0¢ | 97.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $22K
- Liquidity: $22K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Darline Graham, 4-6%:
If the margin of victory for Darline Graham in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in South Carolina is within 4% to 6%, then the market resolves to Yes. The margin of victory is the vote share received by Darline Graham minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Darline Graham if Darline Graham wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Darline Graham loses. If Darline Graham wins, the margin will be positive; if Darline Graham loses, the margin will be negative; if Darline Graham ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Darline Graham runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed.
Sources
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