Rocket Lab’s Neutron Rocket Launch by December 31?
As of Fri, 31 Jul 2026 14:34:41 UTC, Polymarket traders price Yes (3.3%). The market has $12K in volume and closes on Fri, 01 Jan 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 3.3% | 3.3¢ | 96.8¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Polymarket
- Volume: $12K
- Liquidity: $5K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
If Rocket Lab’s Neutron rocket successfully launches from its launch pad by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by Rocket Lab (https://www.youtube.com/@RocketLabCorp), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary. Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., explosion or failed ascent) after the initial liftoff will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change or rebranding of the Neutron vehicle will have no bearing on the market’s resolution.
Sources
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