Reserve Bank of India rate decision in December
As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 11:12:00 UTC, Kalshi traders price Hike 1-25bps (68.0%), Maintain current rate (21.0%), Hike more than 25bps (6.0%). The market has $16K in volume and closes on Fri, 04 Dec 2026.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hike 1-25bps | 68.0% | 68.0¢ | 32.0¢ |
| Maintain current rate | 21.0% | 21.0¢ | 79.0¢ |
| Hike more than 25bps | 6.0% | 6.0¢ | 94.0¢ |
| Cut more than 25bps | 2.0% | 2.0¢ | 98.0¢ |
| Cut 1-25bps | 2.0% | 2.0¢ | 98.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $16K
- Liquidity: $16K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Hike 1-25bps:
If the Reserve Bank of India takes the action of hike 1-25bps at its December Monetary Policy Committee meeting, then the market resolves to Yes. The market resolves based on the official policy rate decision announced by the central bank. For central banks with multiple policy rates, only changes to the primary policy rate count. If the meeting is cancelled or delayed past the expiration date, markets for "Maintain current rate" resolve to Yes and all others resolve to No. Emergency rate changes between scheduled meetings do not affect resolution of contracts tied to scheduled meetings.
Sources
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