Poland rate decision in October
As of Tue, 06 Oct 2026 21:20:19 UTC, Kalshi traders price Maintain current rate (99.0%), Hike 1-25bps (2.0%), Cut 1-25bps (1.0%). The market has $27K in volume and closes on Wed, 07 Oct 2026.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Maintain current rate | 99.0% | 99.0¢ | 1.0¢ |
| Hike 1-25bps | 2.0% | 2.0¢ | 98.0¢ |
| Cut 1-25bps | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
| Cut more than 25bps | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
| Hike more than 25bps | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $27K
- Liquidity: $27K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Maintain current rate:
If Narodowy Bank Polski takes the action of maintain current rate at the October Monetary Policy Council meeting, then the market resolves to Yes. The market resolves based on the official policy rate decision announced by the central bank. For central banks with multiple policy rates, only changes to the primary policy rate count. If the meeting is cancelled or delayed past the expiration date, markets for "Maintain current rate" resolve to Yes and all others resolve to No. Emergency rate changes between scheduled meetings do not affect resolution of contracts tied to scheduled meetings.
Sources
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