Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?
As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 03:04:43 UTC, Polymarket traders price Yes (9.5%). The market has $160K in volume and closes on Fri, 01 Jan 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 9.5% | 9.5¢ | 90.5¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Polymarket
- Volume: $160K
- Liquidity: $12K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pierre Poilievre ceases to be Leader of the Conservative Party of Canada for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Pierre Poilievre's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pierre Poilievre and the Conservative Party of Canada; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources
Related markets
- Will Alberta join the US?
- Next French Presidential Election
- Iran leader end of 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026?
- Next Prime Minister of Sweden
DOXA is a liquidity aggregator for prediction markets that compares odds and depth across Polymarket, Kalshi and others and routes each trade for best execution with an AI assistant.