PJM AEP-Dayton Hub average real-time power price (Week 43)
As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 11:11:55 UTC, Kalshi traders price Above $100/MWh (88.0%), Above $150/MWh (51.0%), Above $45/MWh (51.0%). The market has $1K in volume and closes on Fri, 23 Oct 2026.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Above $100/MWh | 88.0% | 88.0¢ | 12.0¢ |
| Above $150/MWh | 51.0% | 51.0¢ | 49.0¢ |
| Above $45/MWh | 51.0% | 51.0¢ | 49.0¢ |
| Above $25/MWh | 51.0% | 51.0¢ | 49.0¢ |
| Above $70/MWh | 50.0% | 50.0¢ | 50.0¢ |
| Above $55/MWh | 45.0% | 45.0¢ | 55.0¢ |
| Above $35/MWh | 2.0% | 2.0¢ | 98.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $1K
- Liquidity: $1K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Above $100/MWh:
If the all-hours average real-time power price at PJM AEP-Dayton Hub is above $100/MWh for the week ending October 23, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Period: October 16, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT to October 23, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT. Includes the start; excludes the end. Source: PJM Data Miner 2’s verified hourly real-time total LMPs. Intervals follow their Eastern-time start times; repeated daylight-saving hours count separately. Calculation: Simple average of all applicable hourly prices, including negative prices. Round the average to two decimals, with exact halves away from zero. Equality resolves No. Trading closes: October 23, 2026 at 4:59 PM EDT. The final delivery interval still counts. Price versions: Use first published applicable prices. Later corrections count only if published before expiration and accepted by the Exchange as correcting a material error. Exclude unverified, estimated, indicative and forecast prices. Missing data: Do not fill missing prices. At expiration, average the available prices if at least 95% of required intervals are available. Below 95%, resolve only if the available data establishes the outcome regardless of missing values; otherwise, settle at the Exchange-determined last fair price under the full rules.
Sources
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