OpenAI announces bankruptcy by...?
As of Wed, 14 Oct 2026 20:45:19 UTC, Polymarket traders price December 31, 2029 (21.5%), December 31, 2028 (16.5%), December 31, 2027 (7.5%). The market has $288K in volume and closes on Tue, 01 Jan 2030.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| December 31, 2029 | 21.5% | 21.5¢ | 78.5¢ |
| December 31, 2028 | 16.5% | 16.5¢ | 83.5¢ |
| December 31, 2027 | 7.5% | 7.5¢ | 92.5¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Polymarket
- Volume: $288K
- Liquidity: $226K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI announces that it will file for bankruptcy or has filed for bankruptcy of any variety by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. An announcement will suffice for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of if or when the actual filing occurs. The announcement must be made through any of their official or verified channels, as a recorded or written statement by their CEO, legal representation, or other individual or team which officially represents OpenAI. A definitive consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources
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