North Carolina Senate: margin of victory
As of Mon, 26 Oct 2026 07:03:12 UTC, Kalshi traders price Roy Cooper, 14-16% (16.0%), Roy Cooper, 10-12% (13.0%), Roy Cooper, 12-14% (13.0%). The market has $23K in volume and closes on Wed, 03 Nov 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Roy Cooper, 14-16% | 16.0% | 16.0¢ | 84.0¢ |
| Roy Cooper, 10-12% | 13.0% | 13.0¢ | 87.0¢ |
| Roy Cooper, 12-14% | 13.0% | 13.0¢ | 87.0¢ |
| Roy Cooper, 8-10% | 12.0% | 12.0¢ | 88.0¢ |
| Roy Cooper, 16-18% | 11.0% | 11.0¢ | 89.0¢ |
| Roy Cooper, 18-20% | 10.0% | 10.0¢ | 90.0¢ |
| Roy Cooper, 6-8% | 8.0% | 8.0¢ | 92.0¢ |
| Roy Cooper, 20-22% | 6.0% | 6.0¢ | 94.0¢ |
| Roy Cooper, ≥22% | 6.0% | 6.0¢ | 94.0¢ |
| Michael Whatley, 0-2% | 4.0% | 4.0¢ | 96.0¢ |
| Michael Whatley, ≥2% | 4.0% | 4.0¢ | 96.0¢ |
| Roy Cooper, 2-4% | 4.0% | 4.0¢ | 96.0¢ |
| Roy Cooper, 4-6% | 4.0% | 4.0¢ | 96.0¢ |
| Roy Cooper, 0-2% | 3.0% | 3.0¢ | 97.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $23K
- Liquidity: $23K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Roy Cooper, 14-16%:
If the margin of victory for Roy Cooper in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in North Carolina is within 14% to 16%, then the market resolves to Yes. The margin of victory is the vote share received by Roy Cooper minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Roy Cooper if Roy Cooper wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Roy Cooper loses. If Roy Cooper wins, the margin will be positive; if Roy Cooper loses, the margin will be negative; if Roy Cooper ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Roy Cooper runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed.
Sources
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