Nobel Prize in Economics 2026
As of Mon, 12 Oct 2026 11:04:20 UTC, Kalshi traders price Emmanuel Saez (2.0%), Ernst Fehr (2.0%), Richard Blundell (2.0%). The market has $94K in volume and closes on Tue, 13 Oct 2026.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Emmanuel Saez | 2.0% | 2.0¢ | 98.0¢ |
| Ernst Fehr | 2.0% | 2.0¢ | 98.0¢ |
| Richard Blundell | 2.0% | 2.0¢ | 98.0¢ |
| Andreu Mas-Colell | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
| Luigi Zingales | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
| Ariel Pakes | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
| Matthew Rabin | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
| Partha Dasgupta | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
| Sendhil Mullainathan | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
| Susan Athey | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
| Thomas Piketty | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
| Robert Barro | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $94K
- Liquidity: $94K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Emmanuel Saez:
If Emmanuel Saez has won the 2026 Sveriges Riksbank Prize in Economic Sciences in Memory of Alfred Nobel, then the market resolves to Yes.
Sources
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