Next Kimi K model (3.2+) released by...?
As of Thu, 29 Oct 2026 09:45:20 UTC, Polymarket traders price February 28 (30.5%), December 31 (22.0%). The market has $2K in volume and closes on Mon, 01 Mar 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| February 28 | 30.5% | 30.5¢ | 69.5¢ |
| December 31 | 22.0% | 22.0¢ | 78.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Polymarket
- Volume: $2K
- Liquidity: $583
- Closes:
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Moonshot AI's next Kimi K model (3.2+) is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "Kimi" and "K" followed by a version designation of 3.2 or higher, regardless of capitalization, hyphenation, spacing, or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors such as "Pro" or "Highspeed". For example, a version 3.2 or higher named in the same manner as Kimi K3 or Kimi K3.1 Pro would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as Kimi K4, while models which retain a version designation below 3.2, such as Kimi K3.1 Pro or Kimi K3.1 Pro Highspeed (released October 23, 2026), including any open-weight release, rollout, or snapshot of them, or Kimi K2.8 Preview, will not qualify. Models outside the Kimi K series, such as Kimi-VL, Kimi-Audio, Kimi-Dev, or Kimi Linear, will not qualify. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Moonshot AI as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspon…
Sources
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