Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026?
As of Fri, 16 Oct 2026 16:33:57 UTC, Polymarket traders price Yes (10.0%). The market has $83K in volume and closes on Fri, 01 Jan 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 10.0% | 10.0¢ | 90.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Polymarket
- Volume: $83K
- Liquidity: $788
- Closes:
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if OpenAI launches a social network by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A social network refers to a platform or service developed by OpenAI that is primarily intended for users to create profiles or identities and publicly share, view, or interact with content or other users in a feed, network, or similar format. Tools or features whose primary purpose is not to function as a social network, even if they allow limited user interaction, such as comments, reactions, or sharing, will not qualify unless they are clearly released and presented by OpenAI as a social network, social platform, or similar. A qualifying social network must be publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public. Social networks may qualify regardless of whether they are launched as a standalone platform or as social-network functionality integrated into another OpenAI product, provided that OpenAI clearly presents the product or feature as a social network or social platform, or similar. Messaging or messenger-style applications solely designed for private one-to-one or small-group communication will not qualify for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI; howeve…
Sources
Related markets
- What kind of product will OpenAI announce in 2026?
- Will OpenAI launch a consumer hardware product by...?
- Which companies will be acquired before 2027?
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Who will be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?
- OpenAI IPO closing market cap above ___ ?
DOXA is a liquidity aggregator for prediction markets that compares odds and depth across Polymarket, Kalshi and others and routes each trade for best execution with an AI assistant.