Minnesota Senate: margin of victory
As of Mon, 26 Oct 2026 09:09:08 UTC, Kalshi traders price Peggy Flanagan, 4-6% (16.0%), Peggy Flanagan, 6-8% (14.0%), Peggy Flanagan, 2-4% (14.0%). The market has $3K in volume and closes on Wed, 03 Nov 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Peggy Flanagan, 4-6% | 16.0% | 16.0¢ | 84.0¢ |
| Peggy Flanagan, 6-8% | 14.0% | 14.0¢ | 86.0¢ |
| Peggy Flanagan, 2-4% | 14.0% | 14.0¢ | 86.0¢ |
| Peggy Flanagan, 8-10% | 11.0% | 11.0¢ | 89.0¢ |
| Peggy Flanagan, 10-12% | 10.0% | 10.0¢ | 90.0¢ |
| Michele Tafoya, 0-2% | 9.0% | 9.0¢ | 91.0¢ |
| Peggy Flanagan, 0-2% | 8.0% | 8.0¢ | 92.0¢ |
| Michele Tafoya, ≥2% | 7.0% | 7.0¢ | 93.0¢ |
| Peggy Flanagan, 12-14% | 7.0% | 7.0¢ | 93.0¢ |
| Peggy Flanagan, ≥14% | 4.0% | 4.0¢ | 96.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $3K
- Liquidity: $3K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Peggy Flanagan, 4-6%:
If the margin of victory for Peggy Flanagan in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Minnesota is within 4% to 6%, then the market resolves to Yes. The margin of victory is the vote share received by Peggy Flanagan minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Peggy Flanagan if Peggy Flanagan wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Peggy Flanagan loses. If Peggy Flanagan wins, the margin will be positive; if Peggy Flanagan loses, the margin will be negative; if Peggy Flanagan ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Peggy Flanagan runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed.
Sources
Related markets
- California Governor winner? (Person)
- Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Maine-Texas Senate Combo
- Blue wave this year?
- Blue tsunami this year?
- Alaska Governor winner?
DOXA is a liquidity aggregator for prediction markets that compares odds and depth across Polymarket, Kalshi and others and routes each trade for best execution with an AI assistant.