Michigan Senate: which counties will Abdul El-Sayed win?
As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 12:04:39 UTC, Kalshi traders price Oakland (97.0%), Kent (93.0%), Genesee (84.0%). The market has $18K in volume and closes on Tue, 03 Nov 2026.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oakland | 97.0% | 97.0¢ | 3.0¢ |
| Kent | 93.0% | 93.0¢ | 7.0¢ |
| Genesee | 84.0% | 84.0¢ | 16.0¢ |
| Grand Traverse | 63.0% | 63.0¢ | 37.0¢ |
| Muskegon | 61.0% | 61.0¢ | 39.0¢ |
| Eaton | 51.0% | 51.0¢ | 49.0¢ |
| Saginaw | 51.0% | 51.0¢ | 49.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $18K
- Liquidity: $18K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Oakland:
If Abdul El-Sayed wins the 2026 Michigan Senate general election in Oakland County, then the market resolves to Yes. This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.
Sources
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