Measles cases in U.S. by October 31?
As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 17:08:26 UTC, Polymarket traders price 4500+ (100.0%), 4700+ (97.0%), 4800+ (95.0%). The market has $6K in volume and closes on Sun, 01 Nov 2026.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4500+ | 100.0% | 100.0¢ | 0.1¢ |
| 4700+ | 97.0% | 97.0¢ | 3.0¢ |
| 4800+ | 95.0% | 95.0¢ | 5.0¢ |
| 4900+ | 40.5% | 40.5¢ | 59.5¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Polymarket
- Volume: $6K
- Liquidity: $5K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there have been the specified amount or more confirmed cases of Measles (Rubeola) in humans in the territory of the United States of America in 2026, according to the CDC case counter by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter 'Total Cases' in 2026 (see: https://www.cdc.gov/measles/data-research/index.html) at the resolution time. If the counter becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used. Note: Only cases reported by the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter will qualify, regardless of reports from U.S. State agencies or other sources.
Sources
Related markets
- Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?
- How many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026?
- How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026?
- AI lab announces another Millennium Prize solution by...?
- Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?
- U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?
DOXA is a liquidity aggregator for prediction markets that compares odds and depth across Polymarket, Kalshi and others and routes each trade for best execution with an AI assistant.