Lightweight Title Holder on Dec 31, 2026?
As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 11:12:02 UTC, Kalshi traders price Justin Gaethje (84.0%), Arman Tsarukyan (10.0%), Ilia Topuria (2.0%). The market has $1.2M in volume and closes on Thu, 31 Dec 2026.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Gaethje | 84.0% | 84.0¢ | 16.0¢ |
| Arman Tsarukyan | 10.0% | 10.0¢ | 90.0¢ |
| Ilia Topuria | 2.0% | 2.0¢ | 98.0¢ |
| Paddy Pimblett | 2.0% | 2.0¢ | 98.0¢ |
| Islam Makhachev | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
| Mauricio Ruffy | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
| Mateusz Gamrot | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
| Max Holloway | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
| Alexander Volkanovski | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
| Dan Hooker | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
| Benoit Saint-Denis | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
| Charles Oliveira | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $1.2M
- Liquidity: $1.2M
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Justin Gaethje:
If Justin Gaethje is the UFC Lightweight Title Holder on Dec 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET, then the market resolves to Yes. This market and these products have not been endorsed by Zuffa LLC, d/b/a Ultimate Fighting Championship, UFC. Any references to the “UFC,” or any other associated marks are descriptive only, and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Zuffa and Kalshi. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
Sources
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