Kimi K3.1 Pro: HLE-Diamond Debut?
As of Sat, 24 Oct 2026 10:14:43 UTC, Polymarket traders price 20%+ (88.5%), 25%+ (69.0%), 30%+ (43.5%). The market has $8K in volume and closes on Thu, 01 Jul 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20%+ | 88.5% | 88.5¢ | 11.5¢ |
| 25%+ | 69.0% | 69.0¢ | 31.0¢ |
| 30%+ | 43.5% | 43.5¢ | 56.5¢ |
| 35%+ | 18.5% | 18.5¢ | 81.5¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Polymarket
- Volume: $8K
- Liquidity: $16K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Moonshot AI Kimi K3.1 Pro model added to the Humanity's Last Exam results at https://agi.safe.ai/ has an HLE-Diamond Accuracy of at least the specified percentage at 12:00 PM ET on the calendar date following the date on which it first appears on the site. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying model must be Moonshot AI's Kimi K3.1 Pro (released October 23, 2026), including its Highspeed variant, listed under a name or model identifier that includes "Kimi" and "K3.1", regardless of capitalization, hyphenation, spacing, or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, or reasoning or effort labels. For example, Kimi K3.1 Pro, Kimi K3.1 Pro Highspeed, or kimi-k3.1-pro, including with a label such as "(Max)" or "(High)", would qualify, while other models, such as Kimi K3 (Max), Kimi K2.8 Preview, or any later Kimi version, will not qualify. The percentage displayed as "HLE-Diamond Accuracy" for the model in its result card on the "AI Progress on HLE-Diamond" chart at https://agi.safe.ai/ will be used to resolve this market. This market will resolve solely based on the HLE-Diamond Accuracy, regardless of the model's Calibration Error, chart position, other configuration scores, any note that a score was computed on a sample of questions, or any underlying granular or unrounded data presented elsewhere. If the Center for AI Safety (CAIS), which maintains the official Humanity's Last Exam results, publishes a qualifying score (…
Sources
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