Israel Election: Any Coalition Wins a Majority?
As of Wed, 07 Oct 2026 09:03:08 UTC, Polymarket traders price Yes (12.5%). The market has $11K in volume and closes on Wed, 28 Oct 2026.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 12.5% | 12.5¢ | 87.5¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Polymarket
- Volume: $11K
- Liquidity: $46K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if either of the following groups of parties wins a combined total of 61 seats or more in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election: (a) The Democrats, Yashar, Together, and Yisrael Beiteinu; or (b) Likud, Otzma Yehudit, RZP-Zehut, Amcha Yisrael, United Torah Judaism, and Shas. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If the results of this election are not definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named parties in the Israeli Knesset. This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Sources
Related markets
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Next French Presidential Election
- Next Prime Minister of Sweden
- Presidential Election Winner 2028
- Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
- How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026?
DOXA is a liquidity aggregator for prediction markets that compares odds and depth across Polymarket, Kalshi and others and routes each trade for best execution with an AI assistant.