Initial jobless claims for the week ending September 19, 2026

As of Thu, 24 Sep 2026 12:03:25 UTC, Kalshi traders price At least 180,000 (98.0%), At least 185,000 (92.0%), At least 190,000 (83.0%). The market has $8K in volume and closes on Thu, 24 Sep 2026.

Updated:

Current odds

OutcomeChanceYes priceNo price
At least 180,00098.0%98.0¢2.0¢
At least 185,00092.0%92.0¢8.0¢
At least 190,00083.0%83.0¢17.0¢
At least 195,00067.0%67.0¢33.0¢
At least 200,00047.0%47.0¢53.0¢
At least 205,00025.0%25.0¢75.0¢
At least 210,00010.0%10.0¢90.0¢
At least 215,0006.0%6.0¢94.0¢
At least 225,0003.0%3.0¢97.0¢
At least 220,0003.0%3.0¢97.0¢
At least 230,0002.0%2.0¢98.0¢

Market details

Resolution rules

Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for At least 180,000:

If there are at least 180,000 initial jobless claims for the week ending Sep 19, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Sources

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