IEA asks France to release oil stocks by...?
As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 12:24:53 UTC, Polymarket traders price December 31 (39.0%), October 31 (4.0%). The market has $5K in volume and closes on Fri, 01 Jan 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| December 31 | 39.0% | 39.0¢ | 61.0¢ |
| October 31 | 4.0% | 4.0¢ | 96.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Polymarket
- Volume: $5K
- Liquidity: $32K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
On October 1, 2026, Reuters reported that the United States had told France and Germany to release emergency diesel stocks or face a potential US diesel export ban, as Washington presses European countries to draw down their reserves to ease record diesel prices. You can read more about that here: https://www.reuters.com/business/energy/us-tells-france-germany-release-diesel-stocks-or-face-us-export-ban-sources-say-2026-10-01/ This market will resolve to "Yes" if the International Energy Agency (IEA) requests that France release emergency oil stocks between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying request may take either of the following forms: (i) the IEA Member countries formally agree to a new coordinated emergency release of oil stocks (an IEA collective action) within the market's timeframe, under which France is requested, allocated, or assigned a contribution of emergency oil stocks; or (ii) the IEA, its Executive Director, or an authorized representative thereof officially and explicitly calls on, requests, or asks France or the French government to release, draw down, or make available its emergency oil stocks, including any previously committed but not yet released volumes. An explicit request addressed to a group of countries also qualifies if France is expressly named as one of the countries being asked to release stocks. For the purposes of this market, "emergency oil stocks" means strate…
Sources
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