Hungary rate decision in October

As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 11:11:58 UTC, Kalshi traders price Maintain current rate (99.0%), Cut more than 25bps (4.0%), Hike 1-25bps (3.0%). The market has $28K in volume and closes on Tue, 20 Oct 2026.

Updated:

Current odds

OutcomeChanceYes priceNo price
Maintain current rate99.0%99.0¢1.0¢
Cut more than 25bps4.0%4.0¢96.0¢
Hike 1-25bps3.0%3.0¢97.0¢
Cut 1-25bps2.0%2.0¢98.0¢
Hike more than 25bps1.0%1.0¢99.0¢

Market details

Resolution rules

Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Maintain current rate:

If the Magyar Nemzeti Bank takes the action of maintain current rate at the October Monetary Council policy meeting, then the market resolves to Yes. The market resolves based on the official policy rate decision announced by the central bank. For central banks with multiple policy rates, only changes to the primary policy rate count. If the meeting is cancelled or delayed past the expiration date, markets for "Maintain current rate" resolve to Yes and all others resolve to No. Emergency rate changes between scheduled meetings do not affect resolution of contracts tied to scheduled meetings.

Sources

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