How much will Tesla's energy business grow before 2027?
As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 12:15:51 UTC, Kalshi traders price Above 15 GWh of energy deployed in a single quarter (67.0%), Above 20 GWh of energy deployed in a single quarter (8.0%), Above 30 GWh of energy deployed in a single quarter (4.0%). The market has $39K in volume and closes on Fri, 01 Jan 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Above 15 GWh of energy deployed in a single quarter | 67.0% | 67.0¢ | 33.0¢ |
| Above 20 GWh of energy deployed in a single quarter | 8.0% | 8.0¢ | 92.0¢ |
| Above 30 GWh of energy deployed in a single quarter | 4.0% | 4.0¢ | 96.0¢ |
| Above 50 GWh of energy deployed in a single quarter | 3.0% | 3.0¢ | 97.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $39K
- Liquidity: $39K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Above 15 GWh of energy deployed in a single quarter:
If Tesla deploys more than 15 GWh of energy products in a single quarter starting with Q1 2025 and before Q1 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Sources
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