How many states will elect a governor and senator from different parties this year?
As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 11:11:59 UTC, Kalshi traders price E5 (27.0%), E4 (24.0%), Above 5 (18.0%). The market has $5K in volume and closes on Mon, 01 Feb 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| E5 | 27.0% | 27.0¢ | 73.0¢ |
| E4 | 24.0% | 24.0¢ | 76.0¢ |
| Above 5 | 18.0% | 18.0¢ | 82.0¢ |
| E2 | 15.0% | 15.0¢ | 85.0¢ |
| E3 | 14.0% | 14.0¢ | 86.0¢ |
| E1 | 3.0% | 3.0¢ | 97.0¢ |
| E0 | 2.0% | 2.0¢ | 98.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $5K
- Liquidity: $5K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for E5:
If the number of states in which the winner of the 2026 gubernatorial general election and the winner of a 2026 U.S. Senate general election (including special elections) are nominees of different political parties is exactly 5, then the market resolves to Yes. If a runoff is required to determine the winner of any race, the runoff result governs. Candidates elected as independents or without a party nomination are considered a different party from any party nominee.
Sources
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