How low will US gas prices get this month?
As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 14:44:22 UTC, Kalshi traders price Below $4.30 (100.0%), Below $4.40 (98.0%), Below $4.25 (94.0%). The market has $97K in volume and closes on Sun, 01 Nov 2026.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Below $4.30 | 100.0% | 100.0¢ | 0.0¢ |
| Below $4.40 | 98.0% | 98.0¢ | 2.0¢ |
| Below $4.25 | 94.0% | 94.0¢ | 6.0¢ |
| Below $4.35 | 89.0% | 89.0¢ | 11.0¢ |
| Below $4.20 | 53.0% | 53.0¢ | 47.0¢ |
| Below $4.15 | 22.0% | 22.0¢ | 78.0¢ |
| Below $4.10 | 8.0% | 8.0¢ | 92.0¢ |
| Below $4.05 | 3.0% | 3.0¢ | 97.0¢ |
| Below $4.00 | 3.0% | 3.0¢ | 97.0¢ |
| Below $3.90 | 2.0% | 2.0¢ | 98.0¢ |
| Below $3.85 | 2.0% | 2.0¢ | 98.0¢ |
| Below $3.80 | 2.0% | 2.0¢ | 98.0¢ |
| Below $3.95 | 2.0% | 2.0¢ | 98.0¢ |
| Below $3.75 | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $97K
- Liquidity: $97K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Below $4.30:
If AAA reports that the price of national average regular gas for the US is lower than $4.30 at any time from October 1, 2026 through October 31, 2026, inclusive, then the market resolves to Yes.
Sources
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