How low will the 5-year US Treasury yield get this month?
As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 11:11:56 UTC, Kalshi traders price 5.04% or below (95.0%), 5.03% or below (92.0%), 5.02% or below (90.0%). The market has $46K in volume and closes on Fri, 30 Oct 2026.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5.04% or below | 95.0% | 95.0¢ | 5.0¢ |
| 5.03% or below | 92.0% | 92.0¢ | 8.0¢ |
| 5.02% or below | 90.0% | 90.0¢ | 10.0¢ |
| 5.01% or below | 88.0% | 88.0¢ | 12.0¢ |
| 5.05% or below | 85.0% | 85.0¢ | 15.0¢ |
| 4.98% or below | 65.0% | 65.0¢ | 35.0¢ |
| 4.88% or below | 64.0% | 64.0¢ | 36.0¢ |
| 4.97% or below | 63.0% | 63.0¢ | 37.0¢ |
| 4.87% or below | 57.0% | 57.0¢ | 43.0¢ |
| 4.86% or below | 56.0% | 56.0¢ | 44.0¢ |
| 4.85% or below | 53.0% | 53.0¢ | 47.0¢ |
| 4.84% or below | 51.0% | 51.0¢ | 49.0¢ |
| 4.91% or below | 50.0% | 50.0¢ | 50.0¢ |
| 4.9% or below | 50.0% | 50.0¢ | 50.0¢ |
| 4.89% or below | 50.0% | 50.0¢ | 50.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $46K
- Liquidity: $46K
- Closes:
Sources
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