Further substantive progress on the Riemann Hypothesis by ___?
As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 11:24:04 UTC, Polymarket traders price December 31, 2026 (8.5%), October 31, 2026 (4.0%). The market has $15K in volume and closes on Fri, 01 Jan 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| December 31, 2026 | 8.5% | 8.5¢ | 91.5¢ |
| October 31, 2026 | 4.0% | 4.0¢ | 96.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Polymarket
- Volume: $15K
- Liquidity: $2K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a qualifying mathematical result unconditionally establishes that at least 70% of the nontrivial zeros of the Riemann zeta function lie on the critical line, or establishes a stronger result, including a complete proof or disproof of the Riemann Hypothesis, by 11:59 PM ET on the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, "unconditionally" means that the qualifying result may not depend on assuming the Riemann Hypothesis or any other unproven conjecture necessary for the stated threshold to hold. A result establishing any unconditional lower bound of 70% or greater will qualify. A result establishing a higher percentage, proving that 100% of the relevant zeros lie on the critical line, or otherwise completely proving or disproving the Riemann Hypothesis will also qualify. Computational verification that additional individual zeros lie on the critical line will not qualify on its own, regardless of the number of zeros checked. Conditional results, heuristic arguments, claimed proofs without sufficient verification, partial results that do not meet the 70% threshold, or improvements that remain below 70% will not qualify. A qualifying result does not need to have completed peer review or been formally published in an academic journal by the market deadline. A publicly released paper, preprint, technical report, or other publicly available mathematical work will qualify if the result is s…
Sources
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