France defaults on debt by December 31, 2027?
As of Sat, 24 Oct 2026 04:38:57 UTC, Polymarket traders price Yes (6.3%). The market has $1K in volume and closes on Sat, 01 Jan 2028.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 6.3% | 6.3¢ | 93.8¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Polymarket
- Volume: $1K
- Liquidity: $5K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the French government fails to make a scheduled payment on any French government note, bond, or bill at any point between market creation and December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Standard & Poor’s, Moody’s, or Fitch publicly classify any French sovereign debt as being in default during the qualifying period this will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source will be official information from the French Treasury (Agence France Trésor), Standard & Poor’s, Moody’s, and Fitch.
Sources
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