Fed Funds (EFFR) at end of Q3 2026
As of Tue, 29 Sep 2026 14:51:30 UTC, Kalshi traders price Above 3.00% (100.0%), Above 3.75% (100.0%), Above 3.50% (90.0%). The market has $20K in volume and closes on Thu, 08 Oct 2026.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Above 3.00% | 100.0% | 100.0¢ | 0.0¢ |
| Above 3.75% | 100.0% | 100.0¢ | 0.0¢ |
| Above 3.50% | 90.0% | 90.0¢ | 10.0¢ |
| Above 3.25% | 89.0% | 89.0¢ | 11.0¢ |
| Above 4.00% | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $20K
- Liquidity: $20K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Above 3.00%:
If the first published Effective Federal Funds Rate (EFFR) value for September 30, 2026 is above 3.00%, then the market resolves to Yes.
Sources
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