Fast food credit card spend array index in October 2026

As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 11:11:58 UTC, Kalshi traders price Above 80 (96.0%), Above 82 (96.0%), Above 84 (96.0%). The market has $2K in volume and closes on Thu, 12 Nov 2026.

Updated:

Current odds

OutcomeChanceYes priceNo price
Above 8096.0%96.0¢4.0¢
Above 8296.0%96.0¢4.0¢
Above 8496.0%96.0¢4.0¢
Above 8696.0%96.0¢4.0¢
Above 8896.0%96.0¢4.0¢
Above 9094.0%94.0¢6.0¢
Above 9277.0%77.0¢23.0¢
Above 9450.0%50.0¢50.0¢
Above 9631.0%31.0¢69.0¢
Above 1046.0%6.0¢94.0¢
Above 986.0%6.0¢94.0¢
Above 1025.0%5.0¢95.0¢
Above 1005.0%5.0¢95.0¢
Above 1064.0%4.0¢96.0¢
Above 1084.0%4.0¢96.0¢

Market details

Resolution rules

Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Above 80:

If the Carbon Arc Fast food credit card spend array index (October 2026) for October 2026 is above 80, then the market resolves to Yes. For purposes of this market, determination will resolve on the Carbon Arc Quick Service Restaurants Array value for the full month covered by this market, as recorded by Kalshi at 11:59 p.m. ET on the 4th calendar day after the end of that month. For example, the value for August is recorded at 11:59 p.m. ET on September 4th. Later corrections or revisions will not affect the recorded value. The reference is Carbon Arc's published full-month Quick Service Restaurants Array level: https://www.carbonarc.co/prisms?prism=e49b37cf-c5a9-4282-bba2-cd8c19c56a64. The array is the equally weighted arithmetic mean of its constituent year-over-year indices. At listing, its members are McDonald's, Starbucks, Chipotle, Wendy's and Chick-fil-A, weighted 20% each. Each constituent index is 100 when its measured value equals the same month of the previous year; the array averages these indices. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the underlying companies. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Sources

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